17/12/2010

Morning Report: Euro & Swissy rally

Morning Report: 08.45 London


• Last night the Dow Jones (Wall Street) closed at a new high for 2010. Despite many indicators pointing to complacency in stock markets right now, indices appear to have a Teflon coating that keeps pushing them higher.

• Forex markets are quiet outside of the euro and its neighbour the Swiss franc. The euro is pushing higher and shrugging off Moody’s 5 notch credit ratings downgrade for Ireland. There is very little reaction from markets as this downgrade appears to be a delayed statement of the obvious

• The EUR/USD and EUR/JPY are up 0.5% with 1.3200 acting as firm support on the former.



• The Swiss franc is moving in lock stock with the USD/CHF rising by 0.5%.
 
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• Outside of these currencies, there really isn't much excitement to speak of.


Coming up today: 

• We've an unusually quiet calendar today with German ifo business climate the only planned economic announcement of note. Aside from this the EU economic summit rumbles on all day.


Forex Trading Tips:

• The GBP/USD has been unusually quiet this morning. While the Christmas period can bring tighter trading ranges, this usually happens a couple of days around Christmas not a week before.

• To put today's inaction into perspective, the chart below shows the GBP/USD with its 14 day Average True Range and its 1 day ranges below that. You can see that so far, today's range of just 30 pips is the smallest since last Christmas.



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