24/01/2011

Morning Report: Dollar strength ahead of major US earnings

Morning Report: 08.15 London

• Typical of most Monday's we're seeing a nondescript start to the trading week.

• Traders are rightly keeping their powder dry ahead of a very busy week for announcements from US companies. Although these announcements will have only a secondary effect on forex markets, there will be an impact nonetheless.

• So far today the main theme is strength in the US dollar as it recovers slightly from two week losing streak.

• The EUR/USD is down 0.29%, while the USD/CHF & USD/JPY are both down by a similar measure.


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The day's stand out performer is the AUD/JPY which is up by 0.34% on a tentative recovery in gold prices.


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Bet Idea:

• Does today's pull back in the EUR/USD represent a short term end to the recent rally, or a buying opportunity?

• With so many major US companies announcing earning this week, this may be trying to predict the unpredictable, but if the EUR/USD had a slight bias it is of pull-backs being shallow when they come against the trend.

This trade is perhaps best left until the end of the day, but a trade idea would be to predict that the EUR/USD is above 1.3610 by the close of play on the 25th tomorrow. If successful, this could potentially return 114%.



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Summary:

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