11/02/2011

Morning Report: US dollar dominates

Morning Report: 08.30 London

• This morning the US dollar is the dominant currency with big gains against the antipodean currencies Australian and New Zealand dollars. The AUD/USD and NZD/USD are down over 0.75%.


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• The pound showed relative strength yesterday, and is falling by a lesser amount once again today GBP/USD down 0.21% with the EUR/USD falling by 0.41%.


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The troubles in Egypt are helping gold to withstand the strength in the US dollar to hold are current levels.


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Last night US stock markets closed near the highs of the day as traders managed to push markets higher following a weak open for second day in a row. Futures and indicating a weak opening once again, will traders be able to push markets higher once again?


Coming up today

• Coming up today we have UK PPI Input at 09.30 which is expected to come in lower than last month at +1.3%.

• At 13.30 we have Trade balance figures from the US and Canada with increased deficit expected for both.

• At 14.55 we have US consumer sentiment figures with a slight increase on the cards.


Bet Idea

• It's been hard to bet against the down trend in the USD/JPY with counter trend rallies reversing before a meaningful trend sets in.

• The yen continues to weaken with the USD/JPY rising to the upper consolidation point.


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The question this time is whether the USD/JPY will reverse the build up of strength once again, or whether this recovery will finally gain momentum.

• The dollar index has been building strength this week and while its not exactly roaring just yet, there is enough momentum to see at least a short term pop this time potentially.

One way to play this is a HIGHER trade predicting that the USD/JPY will be higher than 84.00 this time next week (Friday 18th). If successful, this could return 157%.



Summary:
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